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Showing posts with label Election Law. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Election Law. Show all posts

Monday, April 28, 2008

US Supreme Court Upholds Voter ID Requirement

This morning the United States Supreme Court released its decision in Crawford v. Marion County Election Board (pdf). This case sought to determine whether the State of Indiana's voter identification requirement violated the constitutional rights of voters.

In its plurality-decision today, the Court upheld the voter identification requirement in Indiana, ruling that states only need a rational justification for implementing new voting requirements.

Institute for Law and Politics Advisory Board Member Rick Hasen has a more detailed analysis on his Election Law Blog.

Do you think today's Court ruling will encourage additional states to pass stricter voting requirements?

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Thursday, March 13, 2008

What Could Go Wrong in Florida?

Institute for Law and Politics Advisory Board Member Rick Hasen predicts in his Election Law Blog three potential problems if Florida goes forward with a June Mail-Vote Primary:

1. An Election Meltdown
As I have noted,"there's something especially worrisome about rolling out a new system for counting votes for the first time in a presidential contest. It is like debuting your new play straight on Broadway." Dan Tokaji has raised similar and additional administrability concerns. A meltdown could well backfire on the Democrats, making Floridians less likely to vote for a Democrat in the fall, and tarnishing even further the reputation of Florida.

2. The Specter of Vote Fraud
Any time voting takes place outside the voting booth, there is the chance of a vote buying arrangement. As I have explained, absentee ballot fraud was rampant enough for a court to void the Miami mayor's race of 1997. We can also expect that the loser of the contest will have an incentive to claim fraud as a way of trying to undermine the results, much like what may be happening with the Texas caucus right now.

3. Undermining the Ability of the DNC to Insure Order on the Primary Process
It would be quite ironic if Florida, despite having broken the rules, would get to hold a final primary that the media (and perhaps the candidates) will bill as the decisive contest to sway the superdelegates (as in, whoever can win in Florida deserves to take on John McCain in November). What incentive will this create for states in 2012 asked to abide by the Democratic party rules for the timing of primaries and caucuses?


What do you think the odds are of one or more of these problems arising if Florida Democrats go forward with their plan?

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Monday, March 10, 2008

The Myth of Voter Fraud?

Institute for Law and Politics Senior Fellow David Schultz recently published a law review article titled, "Less Than Fundamental: The Myth of Voter Fraud and the Coming of the Second Great Disenfranchisement (PDF)"

In the article, Professor Schultz essentially makes two arguments. First, he argues that claims of widespread intentional voter fraud are exaggerated and that there is little evidence of it at all.

Professor Schultz further argues that policy reactions to these exaggerated claims of voter fraud, such as stricter voter registration laws, are likely to lead to the disenfranchisement of some voters, despite the lack of evidence that there is a problem with our elections in the first place.

Check out the article, then let us know what you think. Are claims of voter fraud overblown? Are stricter voting requirements appropriate?


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Monday, February 25, 2008

Presidential Candidate Campaign Obstacles


Now that there's a mini-lull in the presidential campaign schedule, here is some information on the obstacles facing each of the remaining presidential candidates:

For Senator John McCain (R-AZ), the presumptive Republican nominee, there is a concern that his prior entry into the Federal Election Commission's (FEC) public financing system, and the FEC chairman's recent letter suggesting McCain will not be able to withdraw from such a system, will hamstring his campaign before he officially accepts the Republican nomination in Minneapolis-St. Paul in September. Of particular interest is the irony that the very system McCain helped create may well limit his ability to compete with financial juggernauts, Sens. Barack Obama (D-IL) or Hillary Clinton (D-NY). This, of course, is in addition to the recent, oft-criticized reports, that McCain engaged in an improper relationship with a female lobbyist during his 2000 presidential campaign.

Before Senator Clinton even worries about facing McCain, however, she needs to combat the perception that her campaign is losing momentum, or as the New York Times reports, that her political horizon "darkens." As of Monday, February 25, Clinton has lost eleven straight nominating contests to Obama, and her campaign acknowledges that she must win delegate-rich Texas and Ohio to remain competitive.

Senator Obama faces obstacles on several fronts, including Republican accusations that he lacks patriotism, Senator Clinton's suggestions that Obama has flip-flopped on his stance on union involvement in this campaign, and even the concern that perennial presidential candidate Ralph Nader, who recently announced he will again seek the presidency, will siphon votes from Obama. Finally, those comparing Obama to inspirational politicians of the 1960s fear that his candidacy threatens his life.

It will be an interesting 9-10 days to see which of these obstacles proves lasting and which fades with the passage of time.

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Wednesday, February 13, 2008

It's Our Party (we should be allowed to vote if we want to)

[Senior Fellow David Schultz asked me to submit this post on his behalf]

Imagine the Minnesota DFL Party adopting a rule that no people of color could participate in their caucuses, or the Republican Party adopting one barring women from attending. Could they do that? Proponents of the political parties seem to imply such a right when arguing against a law calling for primaries instead of caucuses for the selection of presidential and other candidates. While the courts have given broad deference to the First Amendment freedom of association rights of political parties, those rights are limited.

There is no question that political parties should generally be free to determine who can be a member and how they select their candidates. Over the last 20 years the Supreme Court has ruled that parties are free to associate with whomever they wish. This means, for example, that the Republican Party of Connecticut could invite independents to participate in their primaries even though a state law prohibited it. Conversely, the Court also voided a California law permitting voters in primaries to select candidates in any party, citing the right of political parties to limit who can participate in their selection. Paraphrasing the Leslie Gore song, the reason for these decisions is that “It’s my party and I’ll invite whom I want to.”

While these cases significantly protect party rights, the Supreme Court has never held that they are free to discriminate. In a series of decisions from the 1930s through the 1950s known as the “White Primary” cases, the Court struck down as unconstitutional party rules that excluded African-Americans from participating in the Texas Democratic Party primaries. The Court ruled that primaries are not always private affairs immune from regulation. The government had an interest in ensuring political parties were free from discrimination, especially when their actions—such as the selection of candidates—would appear on the general election ballot. To say that individuals have a right to vote but to deny them the right to participate in party affairs effectively undermines that right. The courts have also endorsed rules limiting party access to the ballot, and the Supreme Court upheld a Minnesota law preventing one party from cross-endorsing candidates from another.

What became clear on caucus night in Minnesota is how exclusionary and discriminatory the process is. While there was no official policy stating that neither women nor African-Americans could participate, many people were disenfranchised. They included those who worked second shifts or who were working second jobs, the elderly afraid to go out at night, parents with child-rearing duties, and others, such as those serving in the military in places like Iraq. None of them could participate via an absentee ballot, as would be the case in a general election. While the discrimination that occurred might not rise to the level of that found in the White Primary cases, it was nonetheless no less exclusionary and limited in whom it effectively allowed to participate.

The caucus system does promote important values. It encourages deliberation and opens up the parties to many who can suggest issues for it consider. But these values must be balanced against those favoring convenience and greater opportunity for more individuals to participate. Perhaps a hybrid system of all-day voting, absentee ballots, and caucuses at the end of the day can harmonize these competing objectives.

Minnesota prides itself on its high voter turnout. Unfortunately a record-setting caucus turnout of 10% of the voting population is dismal. Such a rate were it to occur in the south with its high minority populations, would be viewed with skepticism. The caucus system, while quaint, is a product of a Lake Wobegon era of Minnesota that is passing away and it may no longer be the most inclusive means of selecting candidates in the 21st century.


David Schultz is a Hamline University Professor in the Graduate School of Management where he teaches classes in government ethics, and at the University of Minnesota in the Law School where he teaches election law and serves as a Senior Fellow at the Institute for Law and Politics.


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Monday, February 11, 2008

Obama v. Clinton: Could Delegate Counts Spark a Lawsuit?

Former U.S. Solicitor General and Bush v. Gore counsel, Ted Olson, writes in today's Wall Street Journal of the possibility of contentious litigation should there be a contest in seating delegates to the Democratic National Convention:

"Imagine that as the convention approaches, Sen. Clinton is leading in the popular vote, but Sen. Obama has the delegate lead. Surely no one familiar with her history would doubt that her take-no-prisoners campaign team would do whatever it took to capture the nomination, including all manner of challenges to Obama delegates and tidal waves of litigation.

"Indeed, it has already been reported that Sen. Clinton will demand that the convention seat delegates from Michigan and Florida, two states whose delegates have been disqualified by the party for holding January primaries in defiance of party rules. The candidates agreed not to campaign in those states. But Sen. Clinton opted to keep her name on the Michigan primary ballot, and staged a primary-day victory visit to Florida, winning both of those unsanctioned primaries. Her campaign is arguing that the delegates she won in each state be recognized despite party rules and notwithstanding her commitment not to compete in those primaries. Of course. 'Count every vote.'

"As the convention nears, with Sen. Clinton trailing slightly in the delegate count, the next step might well be a suit in the Florida courts challenging her party's refusal to seat Florida's delegation at the convention. And the Florida courts, as they did twice in 2000, might find some ostensible legal basis for overturning the pre-election rules and order the party to recognize the Clinton Florida delegates. That might tip the balance to Sen. Clinton..."


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Friday, November 9, 2007

Today's Lunch Discussion: Senior Fellow David Schultz to discuss voter fraud

Senior Fellow David Schultz will lead a discussion on voter fraud issues related to his recent paper: "Less than Fundamental: The Myth of Voter Fraud and the Coming of the Second Great Disenfranchisement. (pdf)"

The discussion will be held in Room 15 of the law school from 12:15pm-1:15pm.

This event is co-sponsored by the University of Minnesota chapter of the American Constitution Society.

The event is free and open to the public. Lunch is provided.

Contact Institute for Law and Politics Co-Director Aaron Street with any questions.

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Advisory Board Member Tova Wang Questions the Value of the Caucus System

Institute for Law and Politics Advisory Board Member Tova Wang - a Fellow at the Century Foundation - recently authored a report arguing against the use of caucuses in the presidential selection process.

Her paper, "Has America Outgrown the Caucus? Some Thoughts on Reshaping the Nomination Contest" (pdf), argues that time-consuming, weeknight caucuses violate the principal that all citizens should have an equal opportunity to participate in the political system.

"Also, the caucuses actually discourage campaigns from trying to attract new voters to the system. Campaign workers know that only the most avid partisans will go through the tribulations of a caucus, and these avid partisans are likely to be people who have voted consistently in the past. Thus as a political calculus it makes no sense for them to reach out to infrequent or potential new voters."
What do you think? Is the caucus system broken? Do the benefits of in-person deliberation with one's neighbors outweigh the limited participation that caucuses historically exhibit? Are there any middle-ground reforms, short of scrapping the system, that might alleviate some of these concerns?

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Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Stephen Colbert on the California Electoral Vote reform proposal

Last night the Colbert Report aired a segment on the proposed referendum in California to allocated presidential electors by Congressional District, rather than the current statewide, winner-take-all system. If the plan passes next year, the Republican presidential candidate would likely receive an additional 20-25 electoral votes - the equivalent of winning Ohio.

Here's Stephen Colbert's take on the plan:



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Wednesday, September 5, 2007

An update on the broken presidential primary system

Here's where we stand:

The Christian Science Monitor reports that the presidential candidates have taken sides in the rapidly-intensifying battle for early primaries:

"The pressure on defiant states increased over the weekend, with Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York, Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois, and former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina announcing they had signed a pledge not to campaign in any state that tries to jump ahead of the Democratic contests in New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada, and South Carolina. The "four-state pledge" had already been signed by several of the lower-tier Democratic candidates, including Sen. Joseph Biden of Delaware, Sen. Christopher Dodd of Connecticut, and New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson."
At the same time, news in two major early states makes it appear that these candidate pledges are no match for maneuvering by state legislatures and state parties. Michigan and Florida have both been moved their primaries ahead of the February 5 Super-Duper Tuesday Primary Day.

Michigan (January 15)
The New York Times reports that yesterday Michigan's Governor signed a bill moving their presidential primaries to January 15. "Ms. Granholm, who had supported pushing up the primary in Michigan to make her state more 'relevant' in the presidential nominating process, approved the bill despite a pact signed this weekend by several of the top Democratic candidates who agreed not to campaign in Florida, Michigan and other states that have violated party rules by leapfrogging ahead on the primary calendar."

Florida (January 29)
USA Today reports: "Florida Gov. Charlie Crist said Tuesday that he would veto any bill attempting to change Florida's presidential primary to a later date."
The DNC ruled that a January 29 primary would strip Florida of all delegates to the Democratic National Convention next year.
Meanwhile, a Florida Democratic Party activist has filed suit in Federal Court against both the DNC and the Florida Party seeking an injunction to retain Florida's national delegates.


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Thursday, August 16, 2007

"The Trouble with Touch Screens"

Below is the complete hourlong report by Dan Rather exposing the problems with touch-screen voting systems.

It raises some important issues about security and verifiability that the public needs to make sure are present in all the voting systems around our country:

[Edit: the video has been removed from Google Video, I'll try to find a new source soon]

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Thursday, August 9, 2007

The Presidential Primary system is broken.


It's official. This afternoon, the Presidential Primary system broke.

The South Carolina Republican Party announced today that it will move its primary to January 19, 2008. New Hampshire state law requires that its Secretary of State schedule its primary earlier than any other state in the country. Iowa schedules its caucuses before New Hampshire's primaries.

Which means that through the actions in South Carolina today, we may very well have the Iowa caucuses occurring in December of this year.

That's crazy.

Who does all this jockeying for position by state after state help? Some states think they'll get a little extra candidate and media attention if they are suddenly "in play," but really, what is the value of that attention? Maybe the added prominence leads those states to think they'll receive promises of federal funding by candidates pandering to them. That seems plausible, but not very likely.

Who does it hurt? First, voters who will be confused by constantly changing election schedules. Second, voters who now have less time to learn about candidates. Third, candidates who now have to constantly rethink their "early state strategy" plans.

Last month I mentioned a poll indicating voters want a single, national primary election day. After today's events (and their future ramifications), that sounds great to me.

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Wednesday, July 25, 2007

New poll indicates voters want a single national primary election day

National Presidential primary election dayYesterday the New York Times announced the results of a poll it conducted showing that 72% wanted a single day for a national presidential primary election.

The Time asked this same question previously in 2000 and 1996 with nearly identical results.

A few questions for those 72% of you favoring this system:

First, when should this national primary be held? February 5? Spring? Summer?

Second, wouldn't it effectively eliminate the chance of any "outsider" candidate (ie. Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton, Ronald Reagan) having a chance at a party's nomination, since a candidate would have to be campaigning on a national front, without much ability to focus on the retail politics that currently dominate in places like Iowa and New Hampshire?

Third, what are the odds that a system like this would result in contested National Conventions? Would that be a good or bad thing?

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Monday, July 23, 2007

Will Alberto Gonzales testify about partisan "vote caging" activities?

Attorney General Alberto Gonzales to give Congressional testimony on vote cagingWhen Monica Goodling testified before Congress earlier this year, she glossed over questions from Democrats regarding her role in "vote caging" schemes during the 2004 election.

"Vote caging is an illegal voter suppression technique used to keep minorities (mostly blacks) from voting. It’s a relatively-unknown cousin in the nefarious family of vote suppression techniques. The practice has been adopted and perverted from a practice utilized by direct-mailers to clean up their mailing lists by sending out mail to specific individuals and seeing what comes back. The real problems start when political operatives start cherry picking areas likely to vote against their candidates."-Campaign Legal Center Blog
Attorney General Alberto Gonzales testifies tomorrow before the Senate Judiciary Committee. Will members ask him about caging? Will he give more informative answers than Ms. Goodling? We'll have to see.

In the meantime, the Campaign Legal Center has a great overview of "vote caging" and its likely role in the hearing tomorrow.

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Monday, June 25, 2007

More on WRTL: Did Supreme Court open the door to more corporate money in politics?

Institute for Law and Politics Advisory Board Member Rick HasenInstitute for Law and Politics Advisory Board Member Rick Hasen has additional analysis of today's WRTL v. FEC decision by the Supreme Court on the ElectionLawBlog.

From Professor Hasen's post:

"...[T]he limit on corporate and union spending is now dead as a practical matter. The test that Roberts/Alito embrace is essentially the same...approach of the lower court: if an ad can be viewed as not about electing a candidate (and instead about an issue), it must be viewed that way and exempt from the PAC requirement."
Assuming Professor Hasen's interpretation of today's opinion is correct, the 2008 elections will likely be drastically more expensive and divisive than most of us have been anticipating.

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Buckley Lives! Reaction to today's Supreme Court decision in the WRTL case

David Schultz response to the Supreme Court decision in Wisconsin Right to Life (WRTL) v. Federal Election Commission (FEC)

Buckley lives! After reading the WRTL opinion it is clear the Buckley v. Valeo as a precedent is alive and that one of the microsteps that BCRA made to campaign finance regulation is being undone. The WRTL decision in itself is minor in terms of its real impact on campaign ads, but it may portend larger changes on the Roberts Court.

Footnote 52 and the accompanying text in Buckley ushered in the express v. issue advocacy distinction in the campaign finance regime. In arguing that express advocacy included appeals that used what has come to be known as the “magic words”—vote for, elect, support—the Court sought to distinguish electoral speech that would receive First Amendment protection from that which would not, especially when it came to particular speakers such as labor unions or corporations. The Tillman Act and Taft-Hartley barred corporations and unions from directly seeking to influence federal elections. The express v. issue advocacy distinction supposedly maintained the bar on speech directly affecting federal elections by these and other actors, such as non-profits, but preserved their First Amendment rights to comment on matters of public concern.

The express/issue advocacy become the loophole through which a money tank was driven. Unions, corporations, and non-profits all exploited it to influence federal elections by simply running ads that did everything an express advocacy ad did except saying “vote for” or “support.” Instead, these ads, often the nastiest of the negative ads, asked viewers to “Call Senator so-and-so and ask him or her why s/he opposed x.” All of us knew these issue ads were functionally equivalent to express ads, and studies by several scholars proved that.

Section 203 of BCRA tried to fill in the loophole with the new definitions of electioneering communications and the 30/60 day rule. While many saw BCRA as a major reform, I argued at the time of its passage that it was a very minor incremental change. Groups could circumvent it with creative ads, front load ads outside the window, or shift their money to other activities within that time period such as GOTV. Overall, between diversion of money to 527s, creative ads, and a shift to other more creative target marketing in 2004 and 2006, Section 203 had little teeth.

Today’s WRTL decision effectively restores the express/issue advocacy rule to status quo ante prior to BCRA. Effectively footnote 52—to pun today’s decision—is functionally the law of the land again. Look to see a return to some of the pre BCRA ads in some cases, but in others, groups have learned that target marketing and other activities may be more effective than using the new WRTL loophole.

The WRTL decision, which also rests on the notion of corruption found in Buckley, also shows that this latter opinion lives yet another day. However, as I argued in my Buckley v. Valeo, Randall v. Sorrell, and the Future of Campaign Financing on the Roberts Court, 12 Nexus 153 (2007), this opinion is plastic and can be used to support or invalidate campaign finance regulations such as Section 203. The Roberts Court will swear fidelity to Buckley but perhaps use it to hollow out the decision.

Finally, the real import of the WRTL decision is not in terms of it changing CFR rules so much for now but perhaps in showing further incremental reforms are dead, regardless of how small they are.

-David Schultz
Senior Fellow, Institute for Law and Politics
Professor, Hamline University, Graduate School of Management
http://davidschultz.efoliomn2.com

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Minnesota Caucuses moving to February 5?

The Pioneer Press and the AP report that Minnesota Secretary of State Mark Ritchie met with leaders of the Minnesota GOP and DFL Parties to discuss moving Minnesota's caucuses to February 5. This would put Minnesota among over a dozen other states that have moved their primaries and caucuses to that day.

Here's my question: Do Minnesota's 80-100 national convention delegates (out of about 3,000) really matter enough to the candidates to make them spend much time here, when California, New York, Illinois and Florida will now also be up for grabs that same week?

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Wednesday, June 13, 2007

Check out the new "ReDistricting Game"

Give yourself some time to play around with the new "ReDistricting Game" from USC's Annenberg School.

The game is a little simple, but it's rather entertaining and very well made. We'd love to know what you think about it.

Enjoy.

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EAC voting rights controversy may be illuminated soon

From the ElectionLawBlog, Rick Hasen (a member of our Advisory Board) just posted on the announced release of thousands of documents from the federal Election Assistance Commission (EAC).

The document dump came in response to a request from Members of Congress seeking more information regarding the alteration of a report conducted by third-party contractor Tova Wang (also a member of our Advisory Board). The original research report by Ms. Wang indicated little evidence of voter fraud in U.S. elections, but the EAC is alleged to have altered the report prior to its release to exaggerate the incidence of fraud.

We've discussed this potential political scandal previously and will be very interested to learn what is revealed by these 40,000 newly-available documents.



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Friday, June 8, 2007

Democrats may block controversial FEC appointment

Photo of Hans von Spakovsky FEC nominee
Next week the U.S. Senate will consider the nomination of Hans von Spakovsky for membership on the Federal Election Commission. Mr. von Spakovsky is a former DOJ Civil Rights Division attorney who has been implicated in the voting rights/voter fraud controversy which last week wrapped in his former boss, Bradley Schlozman.

Both the Politico and the Washington Post have coverage of the von Spakovsky hearings.

From the Post:

"Voting rights activists and campaign finance watchdogs are urging lawmakers to take a stand against von Spakovsky's nomination. "He failed to understand his role was not to be a representative of the Republican Party," said Joseph Rich, a former voting section chief who worked under von Spakovsky, who was then counsel to the assistant attorney general for civil rights."

Looks like the DOJ is in for more scrutiny of its practices related to the politicization of election law.

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